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Make your forecast

Where will the rule land?

Pick a question, give your number from 0 to 100, then see ours. When the agency publishes the final rule, we score both the same way. Leave your email and we tell you when the rule comes out.

47 open questions across 6 federal rules. See the scoreboard.

EPA endangerment finding rescission

EPA-HQ-OAR-2025-0194

The rescission stays in effect through the end of 2026S1 · resolves Dec 31, 2026Make your forecast → A D.C. Circuit merits decision before mid 2027S2 · resolves Jun 30, 2027Make your forecast → EPA grants a reconsideration petition in a way that changes the ruleS3 · resolves Jun 30, 2027Make your forecast → The final power plant rule again sets climate science comments aside as out of scopeS4 · resolves final power plant ruleMake your forecast →

Labor Department independent contractor rule

WHD-2026-0001

The final rule is published before January 20, 2027S1 · resolves Jan 20, 2027Make your forecast → The final rule keeps the two core factors and the extension to the FMLA and the MSPAS2 · resolves final ruleMake your forecast → The final rule creates a presumption of employee status in constructionS3 · resolves final ruleMake your forecast → Worker groups, states or local governments sue within six months of publicationS4 · resolves six months after the final ruleMake your forecast →

BLM oil and gas leasing

BLM-2025-0037

Final rule effective before June 22, 2027S4 · resolves Jun 22, 2027Make your forecast → Bond minimums of $10,000 and $25,000 appear in the final ruleJ1 · resolves final ruleMake your forecast → Final rule keeps both 30-day comment periods eliminated and a 10-day protest window, unchangedJ2 · resolves final ruleMake your forecast → Bond minimums survive judicial review if challengedJ3 · resolves court ruling on the meritsMake your forecast → Royalty floor, four sales a year and noncompetitive leasing stay in forceJ5 · resolves final ruleMake your forecast → 10-day protest window appears unchangedR1 · resolves final ruleMake your forecast → Both comment periods removed, unchangedR2 · resolves final ruleMake your forecast → $1 per page fee beyond 50 pages appears unchangedR3 · resolves final ruleMake your forecast → Surface owner identification removal appears unchangedR4 · resolves final ruleMake your forecast → Nationwide bonds reinstated at $150,000R5 · resolves final ruleMake your forecast → Preference criteria removedR6 · resolves final ruleMake your forecast → Application fee set at $155R7 · resolves final ruleMake your forecast → Bond minimums kept, one comment period restored or protest window lengthened, nationwide bonds reinstatedS1 · resolves final ruleMake your forecast → Every discretionary provision adopted as proposedS2 · resolves final ruleMake your forecast → Bond minimums set above pre-2024 levelsS3 · resolves final ruleMake your forecast → Lawsuit by states, conservation groups or taxpayer advocates within six months of publicationS5 · resolves six months after the final ruleMake your forecast →

Treasury stablecoin issuance rule

TREAS-DO-2026-0496

Treasury publishes the final section 3 rule by 30 June 2027S1 · resolves Jun 30, 2027Make your forecast → The final rule keeps service-provider reliance on a foreign issuer's representation after due diligence, § 1523.3(c)S2 · resolves final ruleMake your forecast → The final rule or preamble names official records, the OCC's section 18 list or Treasury's section 8 notices, as part of the required diligenceS3 · resolves final ruleMake your forecast → Checking official lists alone satisfies the diligence duty, a full safe harborS4 · resolves final ruleMake your forecast → The reasonable-belief safe harbors in §§ 1523.2(c) and 1523.3(e) survive in some formS5 · resolves final ruleMake your forecast → Treasury explains, in the preamble or in examples, how market making, distribution and infrastructure services relate to an unlawful issuance under § 1523.2(d)S6 · resolves final ruleMake your forecast → The rule text of § 1523.2(d) adds an express coordination, purpose or material-connection requirementS7 · resolves final ruleMake your forecast → § 1523.2(d) becomes an exhaustive listS8 · resolves final ruleMake your forecast → Treasury withdraws the proposal or issues a new proposal before a final ruleS9 · resolves final rule or withdrawalMake your forecast →

EPA PFAS drinking water standards

EPA-HQ-OW-2025-0654

EPA publishes a final rescission rule by June 30, 2027S1 · resolves Jun 30, 2027Make your forecast → EPA proposes a new standard for any of the four PFAS by December 31, 2028S8 · resolves Dec 31, 2028Make your forecast → If a final rule publishes, it rescinds the determinations and the standards for all four PFAS as proposedS2 · resolves final ruleMake your forecast → The final rule keeps a monitoring or occurrence-data requirement for the four PFASS3 · resolves final ruleMake your forecast → EPA adopts the procedural cure, keeping the determinations and re-proposing the standards, instead of rescindingS4 · resolves final rule or remandMake your forecast → The D.C. Circuit decides American Water Works Association v. EPA before the final rescission publishesS5 · resolves final rule or d.c. circuit opinionMake your forecast → A petition for review of the final rescission is filed within the 45-day window of SDWA section 1448S6 · resolves 45 days after the final ruleMake your forecast → If a final rescission publishes and is challenged, the court upholds it on the merits (a remand without vacatur counts as not upheld)S7 · resolves court of appeals judgmentMake your forecast →

FAA commercial space environmental waiver

FAA-2026-8614

Final rule published by 31 December 2027S1 · resolves Dec 31, 2027Make your forecast → Proposal withdrawn by 31 December 2027S6 · resolves Dec 31, 2027Make your forecast → § 400.3(c) narrowed or removed for airspace closures or airport layout plansS2 · resolves final ruleMake your forecast → Final list adds any of the eight statutes the FAA floatedS3 · resolves final ruleMake your forecast → Final rule text or preamble states how the waiver applies where the Department of the Air Force or NASA runs its own environmental review at a federal rangeS4 · resolves final ruleMake your forecast → Lawsuit challenging the rule filed within six months of publication, if the final text keeps a categorical NEPA waiverS5 · resolves six months after the final ruleMake your forecast →